Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.216273 0.250219 0.287721 0.332225 0.383603 0.441066 0.510233
2025-09-21 0.159220 0.203823 0.258214 0.329427 0.420250 0.532290 0.681166
2025-09-28 0.130714 0.179493 0.243192 0.332474 0.454483 0.615570 0.844804
2025-10-05 0.115976 0.168638 0.241356 0.349110 0.504891 0.722275 1.049411
2025-10-12 0.103445 0.158067 0.237228 0.360321 0.547174 0.820721 1.252808
2025-10-19 0.092957 0.148489 0.232526 0.368964 0.585313 0.915915 1.461261
2025-10-26 0.083241 0.138472 0.225421 0.372261 0.614575 0.999635 1.660465
2025-11-02 0.073665 0.127235 0.214712 0.367939 0.630303 1.062617 1.832261
2025-11-09 0.064237 0.114924 0.200576 0.355827 0.631003 1.100077 1.964336
2025-11-16 0.059544 0.110118 0.198381 0.363602 0.666141 1.198602 2.211904
2025-11-23 0.054603 0.104208 0.193472 0.365756 0.691132 1.281410 2.439766
2025-11-30 0.050781 0.099864 0.190801 0.371504 0.722974 1.379272 2.705412
2025-12-07 0.045583 0.092371 0.181621 0.364219 0.729986 1.432987 2.895672
2025-12-14 0.041483 0.086556 0.175010 0.361193 0.744991 1.503682 3.127864
2025-12-21 0.038549 0.082724 0.171817 0.364534 0.772903 1.602275 3.427077
2025-12-28 0.037382 0.082421 0.175676 0.382772 0.833417 1.772776 3.894834
2026-01-04 0.035725 0.080856 0.176709 0.395063 0.882563 1.924646 4.339626
2026-01-11 0.033953 0.078820 0.176490 0.404538 0.926515 2.069839 4.785807
2026-01-18 0.031862 0.075812 0.173804 0.408153 0.957676 2.190180 5.189206
2026-01-25 0.029348 0.071526 0.167782 0.403414 0.969100 2.267430 5.501383
2026-02-01 0.026496 0.066104 0.158572 0.390136 0.958951 2.294120 5.696530
2026-02-08 0.025323 0.064633 0.158453 0.398659 1.002014 2.449533 6.220964
2026-02-15 0.023863 0.062274 0.155948 0.401022 1.030161 2.572080 6.677440